JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2026

Presentation information

[E] Oral

S (Solid Earth Sciences ) » S-SS Seismology

[S-SS07] New trends in data acquisition, analysis and interpretation of seismicity

Wed. May 27, 2026 3:30 PM - 5:00 PM Exhibition Hall Special Setting (6) (Exhibition Hall 7&8, Makuhari Messe)

Chairperson:Bozzi Emanuele, Grigoli Francesco(University of Pisa), Aoki Yosuke(Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo)

3:30 PM - 3:45 PM

[SSS07-07] How predictable are earthquakes? Predictability limits and advances in earthquake forecasting

★Invited Papers

*Jiancang Zhuang1, Didier Sornette2 (1. Institute of Statistical Mathematics, 2. Southern University of Science and Technology)

Keywords:earthquake predictability, Information theory, ETAS model (Epidemic-Type Aftershock Sequence), Operational earthquake forecasting (OEF), Seismicity clustering