ITM-TOPAZ-2: Advanced method for evaluating likelihood of occurrence and impacts of natural phenomena for a very long-term in the future

Junichi Goto

Presentation information

[J] Oral

S (Solid Earth Sciences ) » S-VC Volcanology

[S-VC44] Mitigation of volcanic disasters - basic and applied researches

Fri. May 29, 2026 10:45 AM - 12:15 PM International Conference Room (IC) (International Conference Hall, Makuhari Messe)

Chairperson:Oikawa Teruki(GSJ, National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology), Miyagi Yousuke(National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience)

10:45 AM - 11:00 AM

[SVC44-07] ITM-TOPAZ-2: Advanced method for evaluating likelihood of occurrence and impacts of natural phenomena for a very long-term in the future

*Junichi Goto¹, Hiromitsu Saegusa¹, Yuto Takabayashi¹, Kazuki Sasaki¹, Fuga Ueno¹, Hirohito Inakura², Hideki Kawamura³ (1. Nuclear Waste Management Organization of Japan (NUMO), 2. West Japan Engineering Consultants Inc., 3. mcm japan)

Keywords:geological disposal, volcanic/igneous activity, safety assessment, probability, Bayesian Network, Randum Forest