[U-02] Applied Math Perspectives on Modeling, Analyzing, and Predicting Complex Geophysical Systems

[U02-P03] Predictability of MJO Initiation in Data-Driven Models: Shared Instability Modes of Optimally Growing Initial Errors and Optimal Precursors

*Ziyi Peng^1,4, Mu Mu^1,2,3, Hao Li^5,4 (1. Dept. Atmos. Oceanic Sci./Inst. Atmos. Sci., Fudan Univ., 2. Shanghai Key Lab. Ocean-Land-Atmos. Boundary Dyn. Climate Change, Fudan Univ., 3. Shanghai Frontiers Sci. Ctr. Atmos.-Ocean Interact., 4. Shanghai Acad. Artif. Intell. Sci., 5. Artif. Intell. Innov. Incub. Inst., Fudan Univ.)

Keywords:Predictability, MJO Initiation, Data-Driven Models, Instability Modes