JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017

講演情報

[JJ] ポスター発表

セッション記号 A (大気水圏科学) » A-CG 大気水圏科学複合領域・一般

[A-CG53] [JJ] 気候変動への適応とその社会実装

2017年5月20日(土) 15:30 〜 17:00 ポスター会場 (国際展示場 7ホール)

コンビーナ:石川 洋一(海洋研究開発機構)、渡邉 真吾(国立研究開発法人海洋研究開発機構)、大楽 浩司(防災科学技術研究所)

[ACG53-P04] Development of the North Pacific Ocean Model for Near-Future Projection of Ocean State

若松 剛1、*西川 史朗1五十嵐 弘道1石崎 廣1石川 洋一1 (1.海洋研究開発機構)

キーワード:海洋近未来予測、北太平洋モデル、海面水位、CMIP5

Near-future projection of ocean state is one of the key products in the MEXT sponsored project, Social Implementation Program on Climate Change Adaptation Technology (SI-CAT). In this project, we are aiming at producing projected ocean state around Japan coast under near-future climate change using the North Pacific Ocean circulation model. During the first one year of SI-CAT, we have conducted extensive survey with our project partner from local governments, Ibaraki, Tottori and Saga, and other research institutes. Based on the feedback from our partners, we identified key variables to be assessed under near-future condition. The most desired variable is sea level along Japan coast and we have implemented tools to diagnose impact of atmospheric change on coastal sea level change from atmospheric external forcing based on Sverdrup theory. Using the tools we have selected a subset of atmospheric forcing models based on d4PDF and CMIP5 data. In this presentation, we will make a report on preliminary results from our near-future ocean state projection experiments.