[PEM16-P27] Three-Dimensional Forward Modeling of Lightning-Induced Electron Precipitation from the Radiation Belts
Keywords:Wave-Particle Interactions, Radiation Belts, Lightning-Induced Electron Precipitation
Previous efforts (Lauben 1998, Bortnik 2006) have used two-dimensional raytracing combined with analytical expressions of pitch-angle scattering to forward model precipitation from a single stroke as a function of input and output latitude. However these models are limited in geospatial accuracy by their use of ideal plasmasphere and magnetic field models. We expand on these techniques by incorporating three- dimensional raytracing through a realistic plasmasphere and magnetic field model, to better capture the spatial dependence of LEP.
We then combine our end-to-end model of the LEP process with terrestrial lightning activity data from the GLD360 sensor network to construct a realtime geospatial model of LEP-driven energy deposition into the ionosphere. We explore global and seasonal statistics, provide precipitation estimates across a variety of magnetospheric conditions, and compare the total impact to other magnetospheric loss processes. The completed model is well-suited for comparison with satellite electron flux measurements, such as those from the Arase mission.