JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2017

講演情報

[EJ] 口頭発表

セッション記号 S (固体地球科学) » S-CG 固体地球科学複合領域・一般

[S-CG70] [EJ] 震源域近傍強震動の成因解明と強震動予測への展開

2017年5月24日(水) 15:30 〜 17:00 A07 (東京ベイ幕張ホール)

コンビーナ:浅野 公之(京都大学防災研究所)、香川 敬生(鳥取大学大学院工学研究科)、司 宏俊(株式会社サイスモ・リサーチ)、堀川 晴央(産業技術総合研究所 活断層・火山研究部門)、座長:香川 敬生(鳥取大学大学院工学研究科)、座長:堀川 晴央(産業技術総合研究所 活断層・火山研究部門、産業技術総合研究所 活断層・火山研究部門)

15:30 〜 15:45

[SCG70-07] 地震波干渉法による有限断層の地震動シミュレーション

*三宅 弘恵1Viens Loic2Denolle Marine2 (1.東京大学大学院情報学環総合防災情報研究センター/地震研究所、2.Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Harvard University)

キーワード:地震波干渉法、有限断層、地震動シミュレーション

After the 2011 Tohoku earthquake, the Japanese government re-evaluated the source regions of potential megathrust earthquakes, leading to new seismic and tsunami hazards that need to be assessed. The long-period ground motions, which may affect tall-buildings and critical structures, need to be carefully simulated. Deterministic numerical simulation of long-period ground motions are currently widely applied for both crustal and subduction earthquakes. However, the period-range is limited between 1 to 20 s and 2 to 20 s for crustal and subduction earthquakes, respectively, due to the accuracy of the velocity structure models. As an alternative approach, ground motion simulation using the ambient seismic field (i.e., seismic interferometry) has been proposed.

Finite fault application is necessary for ground motion simulations of large magnitude earthquakes. Denolle et al. (2014) demonstrated the finite fault application of the ambient seismic field by simulating the ground motions of earthquake scenarios along the San Andreas fault. Simulated ground motions tend to over predict the ground motion obtained with physics-based simulations, indicating a possibility of large ground motion variations. Viens et al. (2016) showed a good agreement between observed and simulated ground motions for the 2008 Iwate-Miyagi earthquake. Surprisingly, the point source assumption shows a similar performance to the finite fault assumption as long as the period range is longer than 4 s. Another alternative is to convolve the source time function of the large earthquake with the Green's functions retrieved with a station located close to the earthquake source. We validate this approach by simulating the long-period ground motions (T > 4 s) of the 2007 Chuetsu-oki earthquake. Up to now, these techniques have only been applied to crustal earthquakes. With the recent increase of offshore continuous observation systems, such as the S-net, DONET, and JMA networks, the application can be extended to subduction earthquakes with finite source modeling using offshore-onshore Green's functions. The ambient seismic field has a potential to overcome the current limitation of velocity structure modeling, especially for shallow oceanic soft layers. However, some issues still need to be solved, such as the Green's function amplitude calibration, the earthquake depth limitation, the period range limitation, potential azimuthal variations, and seasonal variation.