4:15 PM - 4:30 PM
[ACG38-16] Influence of marginal seas' hotspot on extratropical cyclones: explosive and binary cyclogenesis in idealized experiments
Keywords:extratropical cyclone, binary cyclone, marginal seas' hotspot
The purposes of this study are to reconsider the atmospheric response to localized heating over marginal seas of the western North Pacific, and to clarify the impact of the sea hotspot on binary cyclones near Japan. In idealized experiments used, the setup of Held & Suarez (1994) was applied to the global Weather Research and Forecasting model (e.g., Dias Pinto & Mitchell, 2014). The present work assumed that the North Pacific marginal seas' hotspot heats the lower atmosphere. The steady and localized heating was given by the triangular region. Several sensitivity experiments were conducted by changing the location and thickness of this heating region.
In the area of enhanced westerly, the baroclinicity and short-period disturbance activity at low levels are enhanced by the hotspot. In addition, the frequency of explosive cyclones increases around the hotspot. Over the marginal seas of the western North Pacific, a pressure trough extends in a north-south direction and two maxima of cyclone activity (intensity of short-period disturbances) forms. These two maxima form even when the heating parameters are altered, and thus the hotspot is an important factor in forming the bifurcation of the cyclone activity area around Japan (Japan Sea path and south coast path). In the time-latitude cross-section of sea level pressure over the hotspot, a binary cyclone appears under the condition that a deep pressure trough has developed. A binary cyclone system appears in the early stage of the cyclone development, and the contact cyclone pair merges during the fully developed stage. This is consistent with several case studies of explosive, binary cyclones (Yamamoto 2018; Yokoyama & Yamamoto 2019).
A simple framework for investigating the atmospheric response to an oceanic hotspot in the western North Pacific shows that the heating of the lower atmosphere by the hotspot leads to the formation of a north-south bifurcation of the active cyclone area and increases the frequency of explosive cyclones. The formation of binary lows in the absence of the Japanese Islands suggests the importance of enhanced pressure troughs associated with heating over the marginal seas' hotspot.