日本地球惑星科学連合2021年大会

講演情報

[E] 口頭発表

セッション記号 M (領域外・複数領域) » M-IS ジョイント

[M-IS01] Environmental, socio-economic, and climatic changes in Northern Eurasia

2021年6月6日(日) 09:00 〜 10:30 Ch.13 (Zoom会場13)

コンビーナ:Groisman Pavel(NC State University Research Scholar at NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Asheville, North Carolina, USA)、Shamil Maksyutov(National Institute for Environmental Studies)、A Dmitry Streletskiy(George Washington University)、飯島 慈裕(三重大学生物資源学研究科)、座長:Pavel Groisman(NC State University Research Scholar at NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Asheville, North Carolina, USA)、飯島 慈裕(三重大学生物資源学研究科)、Shamil Maksyutov(National Institute for Environmental Studies)

09:30 〜 09:45

[MIS01-03] Permafrost Degradation Threatens Arctic Communities and Infrastructure

*Dmitry A Streletskiy1、Nikolay I Shiklomanov1、Kelsey Nyland1 (1.George Washington University)

キーワード:permafrost, active layer, monitoring, climate change

Active layer thickness (ALT) is one of the essential climatic variables and is important for understanding many natural processes in the cold regions. ALT is also a required variable for land-use planning and construction on permafrost. The Circumpolar Active Layer Monitoring (CALM) program, part of Global Terrestrial Network for Permafrost (GTN-P), is the primary global archive of ALT data worldwide with more than 250 sites located in polar and high altitude permafrost environments. Some of the CALM sites go back to early 1970th, however the majority of sites were established in either in mid-1990s of after the fourth international polar year (2008). Three main measurement methods are employed by the CALM program include mechanical probing at the at grids ranging from 10 to 1000 square meters, thaw tubes, and shallow temperature boreholes, where ALT is obtained by interpolation of maximum depth of zero degree C isotherm. Using CALM data we temporal variability of ALT across circumpolar permafrost regions that have more than 10 years of data and were active over the last 5 years. The results show that absolute majority of CALM sites have increasing ALT trends over the last 20 years. The median rate is about 5 cm/decade, with majority of sites experiencing 2 to 8 cm/decade increase. Sites located in continuous permafrost generally show less changes relative to sites in discontinuous permafrost. Northern Eurasia regions, including Russian European North and North of Central Siberia were found to have highest regional rates of change. Changes in permafrost have negative impacts on communities and industrial facilities of the Northern Eurasia. Enhanced permafrost monitoring is urgently needed to address challenges associated with permafrost degradation in Northern Eurasia.