日本地球惑星科学連合2021年大会

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[E] 口頭発表

セッション記号 U (ユニオン) » ユニオン

[U-12] From Hazard to Resilience

2021年6月4日(金) 15:30 〜 17:00 Ch.01 (Zoom会場01)

コンビーナ:平田 直(国立研究開発法人防災科学技術研究所)、田村 圭子(新潟大学 危機管理本部 危機管理室)、Matt Gerstenberger(GNS Science)、Schorlemmer Danijel(GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences)、座長:平田 直(国立研究開発法人防災科学技術研究所)、Danijel Schorlemmer(GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences)

15:45 〜 16:00

[U12-02] Risk-targeted hazard spectra for seismic design in New Zealand

★Invited Papers

*Nick Horspool1,2、Ken Elwood2、Matt Gerstenberger1、Anne Hulsey2 (1.GNS Science, New Zealand、2.University of Auckland, New Zealand)

キーワード:Seismic hazard, Building codes, Risk targeted hazard

The promotion of risk-targeted hazard spectra as the basis of seismic design internationally has increased over the past decade. Risk-targeted hazard spectra are derived through convolution of hazard curves with representative fragility functions and provide a means to target a uniform risk across a region. Using risk targets also allows performance objectives of building codes that are consistent with other life risks and enables societal input into the expected performance of structures. Current design procedures using a uniform-hazard spectra are unable to provide equal risk across the country due to variation in hazard curves in different locations and uncertainty in structural response. In this presentation a framework is proposed, which can be used with the National Seismic Hazard Model, to produce risk-targeted hazard spectra to replace the existing uniform-hazard spectra for seismic design. This study also extends the risk-targeted hazard framework through full quantification of epistemic uncertainty in seismic hazard and includes multiple risk targets for individual and societal risk at the building and city scales. The framework can be used to adjust current seismic design force levels in New Zealand standards to target uniform seismic risk for buildings considering both the performance of individual buildings as well as the performance of cities.