JpGU-AGU Joint Meeting 2020

講演情報

[E] 口頭発表

セッション記号 A (大気水圏科学) » A-OS 海洋科学・海洋環境

[A-OS17] 季節内から十年規模の気候変動と予測可能性

コンビーナ:望月 崇(九州大学 大学院理学研究院)、V Ramaswamy(NOAA GFDL)、森岡 優志(海洋研究開発機構)

[AOS17-06] Could Gulf Stream and Kuroshio be synchronized?

★Invited Papers

*神山 翼1山上 遥航2三浦 裕亮3木戸 晶一郎3建部 洋晶4渡部 雅浩2 (1.お茶の水女子大学理学部情報科学科、2.東京大学大気海洋研究所、3.東京大学大学院理学系研究科、4.海洋研究開発機構)

キーワード:西岸境界流、大気ジェット気流

The Gulf Stream and the Kuroshio Current transport heat from the tropics to the extratropics, so their temperature variations affect densely-populated areas in the northern hemisphere through extreme weather and fisheries production. The two ocean currents are separated by the North American continent, and thus, they cannot exchange heat by oceanic processes within a few years.

Based on data analyses of satellite observations and global climate models (GCMs), we show that sea surface temperatures of the Gulf Stream and the Kuroshio are synchronized for the decadal time scale. This synchronization, which we refer to as the Boundary Current Synchronization (BCS), is associated with meridional migrations of the atmospheric jet stream.

Output from four global climate models are analyzed: GFDL-CM4C192, MIROC6subhires, and their counterparts with lower resolutions. Cross-spectral analysis reveals that GCMs with higher resolutions exhibit higher low-frequency coherence than those with lower resolutions. Lag-correlation analysis shows that the temperature variations are almost simultaneous between the two currents. The BCS variability is also detected by performing the Singular Value Decomposition analysis between the two western boundary current regions, and this analysis supports a notion that the temperature variability emanates from meanderings of the two ocean currents. Atmospheric GCM experiments show that SST variability of the MIROC6subhires model actively modulates the position of the westerly jet stream. On the contrary, as suggested by the conventional view, SST variability of the low-resolution version of MIROC6 has less influence on the midlatitude atmosphere.